Despite the fact that the opposition parties in Katsina State are no longer strong enough to compete with the in form All Progressive Congress (APC), due to their lack of structured strategy, tactics and above all having no single figure in power to depend on.
But, the incumbent Governor; Rt. Hon. Aminu Bello Masari will tell it to the birds when he declare his intent to re-run for another four years. Though, Katsina State was ranked as the 2nd Poorest State out of the 36 States of the Federation, just 1 point below sister Sokoto State during the tenure of His Ex-Excellency, Barr. Ibrahim Shehu Shema. But, with lack of political policy and economic transformation, the present administration is said to have made things worst from bad.
As extracted from Louis Jacobson’s States and Localities, “The most common problem leading to an incumbent governor’s loss is a practical one – economic trouble in their State, combined with the governor’s failure to get in front of problem. This essentially boils down to voters exercising their prerogative to throw the bum out”. This is exactly what is happening in the just 2 years and a half of the present administration – from unfulfilled promises, financial irresponsibility in carrying out capital projects, to suspension of payment of examination fees (WAEC/NECO): to say the least.
Arguably, the following points will be enough reasons as to why Gov. Aminu Bello Masari will find it difficult to be re-elected as Katsina State Governor:
* FAILURE TO RECOVER FROM HIS FIRST YEAR
Rt. Hon. Masari’s major first-year challenge was the education budget that dominated the press coverage and the polls, ultimately becoming fodder for campaign commercials. Masari lost control of the narrative that he needlessly cut education spending, resulting in suspending WAEC/NECO FEES.
* A FAILED AGENDA
The major factor in the re-election of any first-term incumbent governor is success in enacting major parts of his agenda. Masari achieved less of his professed agenda – his inability to conduct Local Governments election. A point he so much campaign with against the out thrown PDP government.
The question is, did Governor Aminu Bello Masari have the energy and persistence that will save him comes 2019? Does he have the convincing points to lure those people whose children were already school droppers? Does he have the pluck to entice the Local Government and Primary School Teachers, whose first Ramadhan under his 1st year was flavorless and their salaries ineffective?
I think, even the Restoration Awareness Movement can’t save this man. Kai wallahi, not even the SAK hymn of Baba Buhari – and I believe, even the Baba Buhari himself will never advocate the SAK mantra again; for himself has been suffering from its negative effect affecting his administration nationally.
By Yusuf Umar Usman